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KEY TAKEAWAYS

•   Although many clean energy technologies are now available and increasingly affordable, scaling them to a meaningful degree and building the massive infrastructure needed to deploy them will take decades.

•   The largest impact on reducing emissions in the near to medium term will come from building a no- to very-low-emission electricity grid, electrifying passenger cars and small commercial vehicles, and transitioning residential and commercial heating and industrial energy.

•   In the long term, technologies for decarbonizing buses and long-haul trucks, decarbonizing carbon-intensive industries, and reducing greenhouse gases from refrigerants and agriculture will play key roles in a net-zero, emissions-free energy infrastructure.

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Overview

The transition to sustainable energy relies on improving every step of the energy supply chain, from generation to transmission to storage. However, the sheer scale of global energy has two major implications. First, no single technology or breakthrough can meet the world’s demands for energy. Success will require a combination of approaches that bridge present sources, consumption, and infrastructure to a more sustainable future. Second, the imperative to deliver energy at scale unavoidably places an emphasis on cost. High-cost technologies, whether old or new and no matter how promising, cannot be deployed on a wide scale.

 

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

Substantial progress has been made in several sustainable energy technologies, including wind and solar generation of electricity; lower-loss long-distance transmission; lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries for storing excess renewable energy produced when demand is low and for use in electric vehicles (EVs); efficient lightemitting diode (LED) lighting; and heat pumps for heating and cooling. But the widespread deployment of such technologies requires overcoming a variety of challenges, including a lack of sufficient public charging infrastructure for EVs, constraints in the raw materials supply chain to manufacture some of these technologies, and high up-front costs.

The technical feasibility of nuclear fission for generating electricity is well established. But many concerns related to economics and public acceptability remain to be overcome before the widespread deployment of fission reactors is possible. These include a legacy of significant cost overruns and construction delays; fuel security; manufacturing capability to build the hundreds of reactors that will be needed to meet the US goal of tripling nuclear-generated electricity by 2050; reactor safety; waste management; and nuclear weapons proliferation that might be prompted by widespread reactor deployments.

Over the Horizon

Several important technologies await future refinement before they can be used
on a large scale.

Energy Storage and Batteries 

Energy storage is a core area of effort to make the energy grid more sustainable. Batteries have been the traditional way to capture and release electrical energy but are not yet sufficiently cost-effective for grid-scale storage. Long-duration energy-storage technologies like gravity, thermal, and mechanical storage aim to store energy without batteries, but scaling them remains a hurdle.

Batteries for long-duration energy storage need to be able to endure tens of thousands of capture-and-release cycles, retain charge over several hundreds of hours, and be made of inexpensive materials. Aqueous battery chemistries such as manganese-hydrogen batteries are more promising than Li-ion batteries from a cost perspective.

Renewable Fuels

Beyond storage, efforts are under way to deploy combustible fuels such as biodiesel and hydrogen that can be burned on demand but that are cleaner than traditional fossil fuels. Hydrogen, in particular, has been identified as a promising zero-carbon-emissions fuel source since its energy density by weight is three times that of fossil fuels. However, even in liquid or compressed-gas form (necessary for most transportation applications), hydrogen has a low energy density by volume— which means that a hydrogen fuel tank of a given size can carry much less energy than a gasoline fuel tank.

Finding cost-effective ways to produce hydrogen and carry it with acceptable leakage from production facilities to users is an additional challenge. Currently, it is sourced from fossil fuels through processes such as naphtha reforming, natural gas steam reforming, and coal gasification. Known as gray hydrogen, this conventional hydrogen has a significant carbon footprint and is not sustainable. Blue hydrogen, which is created from methane, and green hydrogen, which uses renewable electricity to generate hydrogen from water, are gaining attention because neither process emits greenhouse gases.

Carbon Capture and Removal

Carbon capture technologies work by capturing “new” carbon emissions produced by industrial processes or the burning of fossil fuels and then burying them, thereby preventing them from entering the atmosphere. Carbon removal refers to capturing “old,” or existing, carbon from the atmosphere. Both capture and removal are gaining research attention and could help users obtain some of the benefits of fossil fuels while minimizing carbon emissions.

Fusion

Fusion power continues to hold promise as a potentially limitless and inherently safe source of energy, but significant scientific and engineering breakthroughs are still needed to make it commercially viable. Commercial-scale fusion power plants are unlikely to play any important short-term role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Grid Technologies

The future electric grid will be more extensive and complex than today’s version, with distributed power generation, consumption, and storage. Power sources will be largely decentralized. As electrical demand rises, grid capacity must expand significantly, potentially doubling or tripling in size and necessitating substantial infrastructure upgrades to manage larger and more variable energy flows. The future development of a “smart grid,” whose goal is to enhance efficiency, reliability, and resilience, will involve initiatives to replace old transmission lines with higher-performing ones, create vehicle-to-grid (V2G) systems that allow unused power from vehicle batteries to be fed to the grid, and deploy AI-driven energy systems to optimize grid operations and predict equipment failures.

POLICY, LEGAL & REGULATORY ISSUES

The most important policy issue related to sustainable energy is the need for a national consensus for continued support over the long term. For the next generation of emission-free technologies, America must sustain a stable innovation ecosystem over several decades.

A second major issue is the capability for manufacturing at scale—a capability the United States has largely lost. Because a meaningful energy transition depends on deployments at scale, promoting domestic production will be vitally important.

Third, policy must account for the harmful waste that even sustainable energy projects produce. Many forms of sustainable energy also require new acquisitions of land to build generating stations and storage facilities. Addressing these concerns proactively can minimize negative environmental impacts.

REPORT PREVIEW: Sustainable Energy Technologies

Faculty Council Advisor

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Yi Cui
Author
Yi Cui

Yi Cui is the director of the Precourt Institute for Energy, the Fortinet Founders Professor of materials science and engineering, and professor of energy science and engineering and, by courtesy, of chemistry at Stanford University. He is also a senior fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment and codirector of Stanford StorageX Initiative. His research focuses on nanomaterials, nanobiotechnology, and nanoenvironmental technologies. He received his PhD in chemistry from Harvard University.

View Bio
yi-cui_profilephoto.jpg
Yi Cui

Yi Cui is the director of the Precourt Institute for Energy, the Fortinet Founders Professor of materials science and engineering, and professor of energy science and engineering and, by courtesy, of chemistry at Stanford University. He is also a senior fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment and codirector of Stanford StorageX Initiative. His research focuses on nanomaterials, nanobiotechnology, and nanoenvironmental technologies. He received his PhD in chemistry from Harvard University.

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