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ai
Artificial Intelligence
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biotech
biotech
Biotechnology and Synthetic Biology
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cryptography
crypto
Cryptography
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materialscience
nano
Materials Science
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neuroscience
neuroscience
Neuroscience
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robotics
robotics
Robotics
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semiconductor
semiconductors
Semiconductors
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space
Space
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energy
Sustainable Energy Technologies

KEY TAKEAWAYS

•  Nuclear fission offers a promising carbon-free power source that is already in use but faces safety and proliferation concerns, economic obstacles, and significant policy challenges to address long-term radioactive waste disposal. 

•  Nuclear fusion recently achieved an important milestone by demonstrating energy gain in the laboratory for the first time. However, further research breakthroughs must be achieved in the coming decades before fusion can be technically viable as an energy alternative. 

•  Many believe that small modular reactors (SMRs) are the most promising way to proceed with nuclear power, but some nuclear experts have noted that SMRs do not solve the radioactive waste disposal problem.

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Overview of Nuclear Fission

Energy can be produced from two types of nuclear reactions: fission and fusion. Nuclear fission works by splitting the nucleus of particular isotopes such as uranium-235, releasing energy. Unlike the burning of fossil fuels for energy, fission power does not produce carbon emissions. However, fission reactions do produce radioactive by-products that must be carefully managed for tens of thousands of years. R&D in nuclear fission focuses on new reactor designs that could reduce nuclear fuel requirements, improve safety, and cost less to build and operate. Research on improving long-term management of radioactive waste disposal is also important. There are two issues in nuclear waste management: how to store it and where to store it. The latter is by far the most controversial issue, and there is no enduring US plan for a long-term “permanent” solution to nuclear waste. 

KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN NUCLEAR FISSION
 

One new reactor design gaining traction is the small modular reactor (SMR), which aims to be cheaper and faster to mass produce, transport, and install. However, SMRs are still in the demonstration and licensing phase. Two issues are the fixed costs of site preparation regardless of reactor size and the production of a larger volume of waste per unit of energy produced as compared to larger reactors.

Many new reactor designs call for the use of high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU), which is currently unavailable at commercial scale in the United States, so its use would make this country even more reliant on importing fuel. Furthermore, the success of new reactor designs will depend on bridging the gap between innovation and implementation. The design, scientific theory, and engineering know-how have been available for many years, but concerns over cost and safety have prevented major action toward deployment. 

 

Overview of Nuclear Fusion

Instead of splitting atoms to produce energy through fission, nuclear fusion occurs when two atomic nuclei collide to form a single nucleus—which produces substantial amounts of energy (even more than fission). Nuclear fusion is what powers the Sun and other stars. Nuclear fusion, which is still in the R&D phase, has two main approaches: magnetic and inertial. Both approaches aim to solve the confinement problem, which is the challenge of keeping the fuel at a high enough temperature and pressure for the reaction to occur. For fusion energy to be viable, the reaction must harness more energy than the energy invested in overcoming the confinement problem and initiating the reaction. 

KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN NUCLEAR FUSION
 

Fusion energy must still overcome many technical research challenges, including the confinement problem. We still do not know if either magnetic or inertial confinement will be feasible. Furthermore, one of the essential elements, or fuel, for fusion reactors—tritium—is not found in nature and must be manufactured. New materials that can effectively contain fusion reactions must also be created. While some press accounts of recent breakthroughs in fusion energy research give the impression that practical fusion energy is just around the corner, even the most optimistic private investors do not believe it is any closer than ten to fifteen years away. 

 

Over the Horizon

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE
 

The United States does not offer competitive exports of large-scale nuclear power plants. Russia owns the global market for nuclear reactor exports. Russia’s state-owned nuclear energy corporation, Rosatom, has better financing and offers more complete fuel provision and waste disposal than competitors. South Korea also has low-cost exports because of uniform design and expertise in industrial manufacturing. More than 90 percent of the uranium used in US nuclear reactors is imported; Kazakhstan and Russia account for nearly half of all US uranium imports, while Canada and Australia account for about 30 percent. 

 

REPORT PREVIEW: Nuclear Technologies

Faculty Council Advisor

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Siegfried Glenzer
Author
Siegfried Glenzer

Siegfried Glenzer is professor of photon science and, by courtesy, of mechanical engineering at Stanford University, where he serves as director of the High Energy Density Science division at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory. His research explores matter in extreme conditions and the development of fusion energy sciences and technologies. He has authored or coauthored more than 550 journal publications. He received his PhD in physics from Ruhr University Bochum.

View Bio
siegfried-glenzer_profilephoto.jpg
Siegfried Glenzer

Siegfried Glenzer is professor of photon science and, by courtesy, of mechanical engineering at Stanford University, where he serves as director of the High Energy Density Science division at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory. His research explores matter in extreme conditions and the development of fusion energy sciences and technologies. He has authored or coauthored more than 550 journal publications. He received his PhD in physics from Ruhr University Bochum.

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Hoover Institution and Stanford School of Engineering Unveil Stanford Emerging Technology Review

The Hoover Institution and Stanford School of Engineering have launched the inaugural edition of the Stanford Emerging Technology Review, a project and publication dedicated to the forefront of technologies shaping the global landscape.

November 14, 2023
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Technology Applications By Policy Area

This chapter explores applications from each of the 10 technology fields described in the report as they may relate to five important policy themes: economic growth, national security, environmental and energy sustainability, health and medicine, and civil…

November 13, 2023
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Cross-Cutting Themes

One of the most important and unusual hallmarks of this moment is convergence: emerging technologies are intersecting and interacting in a host of ways, with important implications for policy. This chapter identifies themes and commonalities that cut across…

November 13, 2023
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Executive Summary

This report offers an easy-to-use reference tool that harnesses the expertise of Stanford University’s leading science and engineering faculty in ten major technological areas: artificial intelligence, biotechnology and synthetic biology, cryptography,…

November 13, 2023
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Foreword

Emerging technologies are transforming societies, economies, and geopolitics. Never have we experienced the convergence of so many technologies with the potential to change so much, so fast, and at such high stakes. The goal of this report is to help readers…

November 13, 2023
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The Stanford Emerging Tech Review | Launch

The Hoover Institution and Stanford School of Engineering held the launch of The Stanford Emerging Tech Review with Condoleezza Rice, Jennifer Widom, Marc Andreessen, and Richard Saller on Tuesday, November 14, 2023 from 4:30 PM - 6:00 PM PT at Hauck…

November 14, 2023
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Hoover Institution Director Condoleezza Rice Announces The Stanford Emerging Tech Review

During keynote remarks at the Hoover Institution’s 2022 Tech Track II Symposium, Hoover Institution director Condoleezza Rice announced the Fall 2023 publication of The Stanford Emerging Tech Review, a new multidisciplinary collaboration in which scholars and…

October 29, 2023

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